Workers’ Compensation Medicare Set Asides (WCMSAs) have become a standard feature in settling workers’ compensation claims over the past fifteen years. This year an estimated 26,000 workers’ compensation claims will likely be submitted for approval. Workers compensation claims payers put over $2 billion a year in Medicare Set Asides.
The National Council on Compensation Insurance (NCCI) estimated MSAs represent approximately 45 percent of total settlement costs, with the average settlement including an MSA totaling about $200,000. The NCCI also found that medication accounts for more than half of MSA costs.
MSAs were created as a way for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) to obtain reimbursement from employers or workers’ comp carriers for work-related injuries requiring medical treatment.
Payers have historically relied upon a cottage industry to use an optional, time-consuming subjective method for Medicare Set Aside compliance. Some claims payers have suspected that this method can over-budget for medical expenses.
The suspicions may have just been confirmed by a Florida-based data analytics firm that analyzed more than a billion medical claims and MSAs that were reviewed and approved by CMS. Big data analytical tools applied by Care Bridge, claims that the conventional method does greatly inflate Set Aside costs. The firm claims it also creates unnecessary administrative burdens.
Voluntarily submitting an MSA report for approval means the payer must comply with MSA mandatory medication forecast policies. In addition, the white paper noted that medication prices are set at “average wholesale prices”, which are not transparent and are arguably “subject to obscure manipulation.”
Care Bridge analyzed the distribution of medical expenses in approved MSA reports and found that 68 percent of them contained opioids. Among MSAs including opioids, 79 percent utilize one opioid, 20 percent utilize two opioids and one percent utilize three opioids.
The firm’s data analysis found that MSA drug prices were 36 percent higher than actual drug costs. The report also found that actual drug use patterns diverged greatly from MSA forecasts, which typically overestimated actual medical spend.
The firm contends that this “new evidence” strongly suggests that this voluntary process of submission predictably and excessively inflates the cost of claims, leaving the claims payer worse off compared to not submitting a set-aside. A “non-submit” option – which is legal but risky – should be considered by every claims payer.
Payers pondering a change in their MSA forecast submissions to CMS should consider using “a conventional MSA report for the relatively few medically complex claims and rely on a data-driven predictive system for the great majority of claims covered by Medicare regulation”, according to the white paper. These types of claims typically make up just 10 percent of claims subject to Medicare regulation.
The paper suggests the rest can be settled with a submission using predictive analytics and post-settlement account administration.