One of the many important workers’ compensation claims administration tasks is to place accurate reserves for future claims costs, especially in claims that will be open for the life of the claimant.
Life expectancy increased each year for several decades, giving rise to higher reserves for lifetime awards. That trend seems to have reversed.
The U.S. death rate rose last year, and 2017 likely will mark the third straight year of decline in American life expectancy, according to preliminary data published by the National Center for Health Statistics.
Provisional estimates are based on a snapshot of all the vital statistics data received and processed by NCHS as of a specified cutoff date. To adjust for the incompleteness of these data, individual records are weighted to independent provisional counts of all the deaths that occurred in each state by month.
In this release of Quarterly Provisional Estimates, NCHS presents provisional estimates of death rates for the fourth quarter of 2017. Reliable estimates for the most recent quarters may not be available for some causes of death. The estimates are based on all death records received and processed by NCHS as of April 15, 2018. Estimates are presented for 15 leading causes of death plus estimates for deaths attributed to drug overdose, falls for persons aged 65 and over, firearm-related deaths, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease, and homicide.
Death rates rose for Alzheimer’s disease, diabetes, flu and pneumonia, and three other leading causes of death, according to numbers posted online.
Full-year data is not yet available for drug overdoses, suicides or firearm deaths. But partial-year statistics in those categories showed continuing increases.
Just as important, there was little change in the death rate from the nation’s No. 1 killer: heart disease. In the past, steady annual drops in heart disease death rates offset increases in other causes. But that offset is no longer happening, experts say.
For decades, life expectancy increased, rising a few months nearly every year. But 2016 was the second year in a row in U.S. life expectancy fell, a rare event that had occurred only twice before in the last century.
There was some good news.The death rate for cancer, the nation’s No. 2 killer, continued to drop. It fell 2 percent from 2016. Death rates from HIV and blood infections also declined. The heart disease death rate fell too, but only by 0.3 percent. Experts think the nation’s increasing obesity rate is probably a factor in the flattening of heart disease death rates.
A more complete report is expected around the end of the year.